In a new Breitbart News poll, republican Judge Roy Moore, the nominee for the U.S. Senate in Alabama, holds a solid lead over his democratic opponent Doug Jones.
The poll from WT&S Consulting of 11,641 likely voters conducted from November 18 to November 20, with a margin of error of 1.2 percent, has Moore at 46.4 percent—six points over Jones, who is stuck down at 40.5 percent. Undecided voters over at 13.1 percent.
The survey includes 60.9 percent Republicans and 39.1 percent Democrats – the margins by which President Donald Trump defeated failed 2016 Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Rodham Clinton in Alabama. Pollster John Wahl told Breitbart News:
“This survey shows Roy Moore tracking down slightly since the allegations were released by the Washington Post but still holding a 5.9 percent lead. Undecided had the most significant increase while Doug Jones also gained some support over the last ten days.
Polling has been all over the place in this special election for U.S. Senate. I have seen numbers ranging from Roy Moore being ten points up to him being eight points down, and that’s surveys conducted during the same time frame. There have even been polls where Barack Obama had a higher favorable rating than Donald Trump.
Clearly, that does not properly represent the voting history we have seen in Alabama’s past elections. My objective with this survey was to get some clarity on where this race actually is.
I wanted to survey a massive sampling of registered voters and let them speak for themselves. With 11,641 respondents, I feel we have accomplished that mission.”
This survey comes in the wake of a handful of others showing a closer race – or a Jones lead.
A Fox News survey showed Jones with an 8-point lead, but that poll—which Wahl referenced in his quote—showed former President Barack Obama’s favorability as higher than Trump’s in Alabama, something entirely inaccurate.
Online surveys that showed a tie between Strange and Moore walking into the runoff now also show a tie between Moore and Jones, even though their track record is not the best.
But the most accurate polls proved to be Wahl’s polls in Alabama ahead of the runoff, as they came within a percentage point of nailing the outcome; his last poll predicted Moore would win by 8.6 percent, and Moore actually won by 9.2 percent.
This survey comes after Moore is battling one of the biggest scandals in recent GOP senatorial history, where the Washington Post and Gloria Allred have hit Moore with allegations of sexual misconduct in the recent weeks. Now, holes and inconsistencies in those stories have emerged, but Moore has powered through. This while Jones’s radical positions on major campaign issues have come to the forefront.
Jones has tried to present himself as a moderate who opposes President Trump’s border wall, plans to vote against tax cuts, supports full-term abortion and amnesty for illegal aliens, believes in “limitations” on the Second Amendment, and approves the LGBTQ community’s activist agenda, which has put him at major odds with mainstream voters in Alabama.
Moore’s team is framing the allegations as a fight between him and the Washington establishment led by Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell. WT&S’s last survey, conducted in the thick of the scandal, had Moore up 10-percent over Jones—something that was in line with Emerson College Polling Society numbers released about the same time. Similarly, Emerson correctly predicted the runoff results.